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India is all set for the 16th Loksabha polls. This election has brought in various changes in terms of both voters as well as political parties. As far as the contest goes, this time it’s not the conventional BJP-Congress battle. The recently emerged Aam Aadmi Party and the possibility of “Third front” government have made this contest very exciting and unpredictable as well. The two new ‘participants’ can either spoil the party for the giants or can even steal the show (u never know). The voters’ scenario has also changed a lot this time. Increased interest in politics and ever highest percentage of voting, clearly indicates the winds of change.
And now, with NOTA around, outcomes have become even more unpredictable. Voters will come out and register their disapproval, making the democratic process even more proud.
The congress led UPA government seems to be already ready to face the anger of people because of all the scams and failed promises. And as Rahul Gandhi said they have brought the RTI act…..(and probably that’s the only good thing they have done so far). Apart from this the highly qualified but ever silent Prime minister has added greatly to this anger. People just want to get rid of it. And what about the youth brigade leader Rahul Gandhi- the new torch bearer. Which is actually the real Rahul? The fumbling, tragic figure in front of Arnab or the new version who is ready to change congress’s vision, working methodology and who is ready to take on the world? Will he really fight for all the stuff he's talking about today? Well it’s really hard to answer.
So now comes the question- who if not UPA? Unlike older times this time we have more options to think for, other than the BJP. But I’ll talk of BJP first, certainly because of its deep roots into the politics it is one of the best alternative (and the tenure of Atal Bihari Vajpayee has played a key role in it). BJP have political biggies like Arun Jaitley, Sushma swaraj, Rajnath singh, Nitin gadkar etc. which can together out power any other party but ever since the announcement of its prime ministerial candidate, BJP’s election campaign has been a one-man show. Narendra Modi’s larger than life figure is being brought. Votes are being asked for “Modi sarkar” and not the BJP. His phenomenal success can only be credited to the way he has mastered the essentials of PR: communication, engagement and relationship-building with the public and media.
He is known to be an authority figure more than a team player. He’s a man who brooks no dissent or opposition. How will that work when he has not just one, fairly homogenous, state to deal with but a country which encompasses great social, cultural, ethnic and religious diversities? Can an individual, no matter how purportedly able an administrator, handle the huge hotchpotch that is India? Moreover, Modi doesn’t exactly look like the kind of guy ready to shake hands with those who (smaller parties trying for coalition) make unreasonable demands of him. This is possibly good for the country. But will it be good for the NDA? I have no clue.
So now comes the question- who if not UPA? Unlike older times this time we have more options to think for, other than the BJP. But I’ll talk of BJP first, certainly because of its deep roots into the politics it is one of the best alternative (and the tenure of Atal Bihari Vajpayee has played a key role in it). BJP have political biggies like Arun Jaitley, Sushma swaraj, Rajnath singh, Nitin gadkar etc. which can together out power any other party but ever since the announcement of its prime ministerial candidate, BJP’s election campaign has been a one-man show. Narendra Modi’s larger than life figure is being brought. Votes are being asked for “Modi sarkar” and not the BJP. His phenomenal success can only be credited to the way he has mastered the essentials of PR: communication, engagement and relationship-building with the public and media.
He is known to be an authority figure more than a team player. He’s a man who brooks no dissent or opposition. How will that work when he has not just one, fairly homogenous, state to deal with but a country which encompasses great social, cultural, ethnic and religious diversities? Can an individual, no matter how purportedly able an administrator, handle the huge hotchpotch that is India? Moreover, Modi doesn’t exactly look like the kind of guy ready to shake hands with those who (smaller parties trying for coalition) make unreasonable demands of him. This is possibly good for the country. But will it be good for the NDA? I have no clue.
Let’s talk about the latest hero Arvind kejriwal. Before discussing any pros and cons of him as a leader we have to confess one fact that it’s because of him (or his actions) that people have started taking interest in country’s politics to a greater extent. He has played the vital role of focusing on the issues that are influencing these elections. He has actually expressed the anger which is often felt but rarely expressed. Although the way he wants us to look into the politics is quite impressive and what we actually desire, but is very hard to digest and change the way we practice our politics. After winning the Delhi assembly elections everyone was expecting him to set a high bar for a chief minister, but sooner something tragic happened. He being novice in Indian politics was unable to withstand the pressure of the two political giants. As far as their role in LS polls is concerned, I don’t think they’ll be able to make any significant effect. And the only reason for this is the lack of grass root level support unlike other parties. Their support is limited to the urban middle class only. It needs to build its base in the third-tier and should take his ideas and visions to the mass. Hence it is too early in the day for his party to nurse aspirations of coming to power at the national level.
One can't rule out the impact of the union, if formed of, leaders like Mulayam Singh Yadav, Nitish kumar, Jaylalitha, and others. May be it has the leas possibility but you never know how, when and how effectively the regional power works
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Talking of the role Election Commission is playing here I seriously doubt its ability to curb the malpractices being used to lure voters. As mentioned by one of the finest columnists, its time when EC should tell the politicians who the real boss is.
Well whatever the poll prediction says, there’s nothing certain in politics and impossible things invariably happen just to prove to us that election surveys, however well meaning, are about as predictable as a game of roulette. Despite that, two things appear to be clear. Firstly, the Congress will fare poorly in this election and secondly Modi will have a great win (Whether the NDA can form the Government is an entirely different matter).
Talking of the role Election Commission is playing here I seriously doubt its ability to curb the malpractices being used to lure voters. As mentioned by one of the finest columnists, its time when EC should tell the politicians who the real boss is.
Well whatever the poll prediction says, there’s nothing certain in politics and impossible things invariably happen just to prove to us that election surveys, however well meaning, are about as predictable as a game of roulette. Despite that, two things appear to be clear. Firstly, the Congress will fare poorly in this election and secondly Modi will have a great win (Whether the NDA can form the Government is an entirely different matter).
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